I am in a pick 'em pool with a bunch of co-workers and friends at my old job. I am a game out of first with 41 correct picks so far this season. Last week was a bloodbath on the leaderboard with 4 people going 5-9. I went 8-6 and took second for the week *cringe* behind my wife who got 9 correct.
Noticing that the home team went 7-7 last week (outperforming most of the picks in our pool) I wondered how the home team strategy would have done so far this season. Answer? It would be a game ahead of first place. 43-33
Before I change my strategy, I should take note that this is largely because the home team went an impressive 12-4 in week 1. After that, it is been surprisingly close to splitting.
Week 1 - 12-4
Week 2 - 8-8
Week 3 - 8-8
Week 4 - 8-6
Week 5 - 7-7
None of this analysis can overcome the fact that my wife has picked higher than me 3 out of the 5 weeks. Luckily for me, when she misses, she misses big and we are tied in the standings. I guess that is what I get for marrying a football loving lady :-)